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March/April 2000
Screen Version
Broadband for Regional Survival and Growth: Background and First
Steps
By Lars Hornborg
lars.hornborg@hornborg.net
The National Perspective
In every part of Sweden, Broadband to the People is a hot discussion
topic. It's not a simple issue, given the different views expressed
by Sweden's various political parties. These range from advocacy
of government-financed mass deployment of fiber-optic Internet
to every household, to a hands-off stance where the market is
expected to solve everybody's needs without government intervention.
The political weight of this issue stems from the fact that Sweden,
unlike countries in Continental Europe, has an extremely varying
population structure. As in neighboring Norway and Finland, the
main part of the country is virtually uninhabited. A nighttime
satellite photo of Europe shows this very clearlywhile Continental
Europe is fairly well lit, most of Scandinavia is dark, with blazing
points of illumination around the few large cities in each country.
Because of this, Swedes cant count on the market to supply the
countrys needs in this matter. While they do a good job in the
cities, ISPs and telecom companies dont have much of a presence
in the countryside. This is natural and to be expected, given
the sparse population and long distances in these areas. There
just isnt enough profit potential outside the cities.
In 1998 Swedens Ministry of Industry recognized that we were
heading into a situation that needed attention. Officials therefore
commissioned an investigationBroadband for Growth in the Entire
Countryheaded by county council director Jan Grönlund.
Reluctant Government
The report was published by mid-1999. Unfortunately, it didnt
live up to its title. The few recommendations that could be found
had a clear city focus, further increasing the cities lead over
the countryside on the journey toward the information society.
During this period, the Federation of Swedish Industries petitioned
the government for active measures to ensure general availability
of broadband access. The governments reply was that this was
and should remain an issue for the marketa case of reversed roles,
in other words. Normally, the federation has strong views whenever
the social democratic government intervenes in areas where entrepreneurs
could be expected to create a functioning market; now, they were
asking for intervention and aid but not getting it.
It rapidly became clear that the government intended to maintain
a very low profile on this issue despite obvious implications
for Sweden as a nation. This led to a lot of discussion and speculation.
What was holding back the government? Figures presented in the
report indicated that a mass deployment of optic fiber and high-speed
Internet access to every company and household would require investments
of 80 billion SEK (US$ 9 billion) during a 20-year period. While
a large figure, the money apparently was not the problem, given
Prime Minister Perssons statement in late 1999 that with a long
enough write-off, it felt like a reasonable investment. What was
lacking was a model and a method.
Conflicting Interests
The ongoing negotiations between Swedish telecom operator Telia
and its Norwegian counterpart Telenor also probably affected the
situationin more ways than one. Had the government decided to
push broadband deployment aggressively, the value of Telia would
have been affected seriously. Telia is state owned, and theowner
role is handled by the Ministry of Industry, which also commissi
oned the investigation. Thus, conflicting interests inside the
ministry in all likelihood had an inhibiting effect on its will
and power to act decisively.
Regional Development and Survival
Meanwhile, in sparsely populated regions like Kronoberg County
(population 180,000, area 8,500 square km), we had to decide how
long to wait for something to happen. It was becoming increasingly
apparent that one of a handful of key factors affecting the future
of Kronoberg is broadband access to the rest of the world. There
are multiple reasons for this, among them, the ability to communicate
freely is rapidly becoming a competitive factor for companies;
access to the Internet is becoming important to citizens; and
education, entertainment, and health care are examples of areas
that can benefit enormously from an underlying information technology
(IT) infrastructure.
All parts of Sweden are struggling to become king of the IT mountain.
If we lag in Kronoberg, companies and qualified people will move
to other regions that have achieved more.
In a county with an average of 21 inhabitants per square kilometer,
the market was not going to solve our needs in the short term.
In other words, we couldnt just sit back and wait for something
to happen. Instead, regional IT development organization IT Kronoberg,
where I am project coordinator, decided to commission its own
study. This was done during the summer of 1999. At that time,
many politicians and decision makers had yet to realize that IT
infrastructure first and foremost is a development and planning
issue that affects local and regional survival and prosperity.
A common view was that issues related to IT should be handled
by technicians and experts. Therefore, an important task was to
move the discussion up to a political level. Crucial in achieving
this were the format, language, and conclusions in the report
of the Kronoberg study. By focusing on alternative scenarios and
probable consequences, we eventually were able to supply the decision
makers with data and reasoning that they could understand and
to which they could relate. Suddenly, it was possible for them
to discuss broadband access in the same way that traditional infrastructure
such as roads, railways, and seaports has been discussed during
all phases of the industrial society.
IT Kronoberg arranged a county hearing on IT infrastructure in
late October 1999. Approximately 100 people participateda good
figure for this type of event. Among these were politicians, entrepreneurs,
educators, and, notably, several people representing village councils.
A large majority demanded decisive action on a county level, now
that the governments lack of initiative had become apparent.
The Broadband Taskforce
More than 20 of the participants at the hearing decided to play
an active part in the work to come. We convened a couple of weeks
later for the first meeting of the Broadband Taskforce (BT). Our
common objective was to achieve broadband
access for the whole county regardless of location.
Given the diversity of the groupincluding municipal representatives,
ISPs, village council people, telecom operators, and consumersour
first task was to formulate a common starting point and a shared
view of the situation. This proved to be relatively easy. Two
key sentences summed it up:
The next step was to define an action list for the BT. What type
of data should we collect and compile? What technical considerations
should be taken into account? What kind of further consequential
analysis was required? What facts were still missing?
We quickly agreed that any kind of models and recommendations
would be of relatively little value without an accurate and updated
picture of existing infrastructure in the region. We had heard
from other regional projects that compiling such a picture could
be a daunting task, given the reluctance on the part of many telecom
operators and ISPs to unveil their respective networks. Despite
this, we decided to try. With the aid of GIS expertise employed
by the county administrative board, we collected digital map data
describing various types of infrastructure, including radio towers
and optic fiber and telecommunications networks. Thanks to an
exceptionally good discussion climate in the BT, we got the data
we needed from all parties.
The result was impressive. It had an enormous effect on our approach
in the continued work. In my next article, Ill explain why, what
it led to, and where were currently headed.
Lars Hornborg is a self-employed Swedish senior IT consultant
at Hornborg IT & Co. He has been an IT professional since 1983,
at which time he cofounded a consulting firm with national and
international offices. Since the fall of 1998 he is a freelancer,
doing consultancy, TV work, seminars, and the like. He can be
reached at lars.hornborg@hornborg.net.
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